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GOP Leads Democrats by Eight Points on Immigration

Republicans now hold an eight-point advantage over Democrats on immigration ahead of the midterm elections, a 15-point swing from 2018 when Democrats led by seven points on the issue.

Stefanos Banos
Stefanos Banos Staff Writer
JUNE 10, 2026 AT 10:20 AM

According to Breitbart News, the shift represents a significant political realignment on what has become one of the most contentious issues facing American voters. During the equivalent period before the 2018 midterm elections, Democrats held a seven-point lead on immigration, meaning the GOP has gained 15 points on the issue in just one electoral cycle.

Trump’s Hardline Stance Gains Public Support

The polling shift comes as President Donald Trump pursues what observers describe as a substantially more aggressive immigration enforcement strategy during his second term compared to his first. Despite extensive corporate media coverage critical of mass deportations and ICE operations, public opinion has moved decisively in favor of stricter enforcement.

A separate poll cited by Breitbart News reveals that 56 percent of Americans now support the deportation of all illegal immigrants, a level of support that would have been considered politically impossible just a few years ago. The publication attributes this dramatic change in public sentiment to Trump’s leadership and his administration’s success in communicating how illegal immigration affects American citizens.

Voters Demand Democrats Move to Center

CNN analyst Harry Enten examined the data and concluded that Democrats face a fundamental problem with voters on immigration policy. His analysis shows that 59 percent of all voters want Democrats to adopt more moderate positions on immigration rather than maintaining their current stance.

The demand for Democratic moderation spans across demographic groups in a rarely seen consensus. According to Enten’s findings reported by Breitbart News, 51 percent of black voters, 54 percent of Latino voters, 59 percent of white college-educated voters, and 67 percent of white non-college voters all agree that Democrats should move toward the center on immigration. Only 18 percent of voters want Democrats to shift further left on the issue.

Historic Approval Numbers in Context

While Trump’s 42 percent approval rating on immigration might appear modest in isolation, Enten’s research places it in historical perspective. That figure represents the highest immigration approval rating for any second-term president during the 21st century. Barack Obama registered just 36 percent approval on immigration at the comparable point in his second term, while George W. Bush stood at only 30 percent.

House Races Favor Republicans Despite Media Opposition

The Cook Political Report’s latest analysis of individual House races gives Republicans the edge heading into November, as reported by Breitbart News. While economic factors such as gas prices introduce uncertainty into Republican prospects for maintaining control of the House, the overall political landscape appears far more favorable to the GOP than media coverage would suggest.

The polling advantage on immigration comes despite what conservative analysts describe as overwhelmingly negative media coverage of the Trump administration’s enforcement policies. With roughly five months remaining until voters cast their ballots, Republicans appear to have found a winning message on an issue that has traditionally favored Democrats in recent election cycles.

With information from Breitbart News

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Stefanos Banos
Stefanos Banos

Stefanos Banos was born in Piraeus and is an editor at NewsFire.GR, specializing in political analysis and international relations. He graduated from the Department of Communication and Media at the University of Bremen in Germany, where he also completed his Master of Arts in Communication and Media Studies. Married to Zoi, he is a proud father of three boys.

According to Breitbart News, the shift represents a significant political realignment on what has become one of the most contentious issues facing American voters. During the equivalent period before the 2018 midterm elections, Democrats held a seven-point lead on immigration, meaning the GOP has gained 15 points on the issue in just one electoral cycle.

Trump’s Hardline Stance Gains Public Support

The polling shift comes as President Donald Trump pursues what observers describe as a substantially more aggressive immigration enforcement strategy during his second term compared to his first. Despite extensive corporate media coverage critical of mass deportations and ICE operations, public opinion has moved decisively in favor of stricter enforcement.

A separate poll cited by Breitbart News reveals that 56 percent of Americans now support the deportation of all illegal immigrants, a level of support that would have been considered politically impossible just a few years ago. The publication attributes this dramatic change in public sentiment to Trump’s leadership and his administration’s success in communicating how illegal immigration affects American citizens.

Voters Demand Democrats Move to Center

CNN analyst Harry Enten examined the data and concluded that Democrats face a fundamental problem with voters on immigration policy. His analysis shows that 59 percent of all voters want Democrats to adopt more moderate positions on immigration rather than maintaining their current stance.

The demand for Democratic moderation spans across demographic groups in a rarely seen consensus. According to Enten’s findings reported by Breitbart News, 51 percent of black voters, 54 percent of Latino voters, 59 percent of white college-educated voters, and 67 percent of white non-college voters all agree that Democrats should move toward the center on immigration. Only 18 percent of voters want Democrats to shift further left on the issue.

Historic Approval Numbers in Context

While Trump’s 42 percent approval rating on immigration might appear modest in isolation, Enten’s research places it in historical perspective. That figure represents the highest immigration approval rating for any second-term president during the 21st century. Barack Obama registered just 36 percent approval on immigration at the comparable point in his second term, while George W. Bush stood at only 30 percent.

House Races Favor Republicans Despite Media Opposition

The Cook Political Report’s latest analysis of individual House races gives Republicans the edge heading into November, as reported by Breitbart News. While economic factors such as gas prices introduce uncertainty into Republican prospects for maintaining control of the House, the overall political landscape appears far more favorable to the GOP than media coverage would suggest.

The polling advantage on immigration comes despite what conservative analysts describe as overwhelmingly negative media coverage of the Trump administration’s enforcement policies. With roughly five months remaining until voters cast their ballots, Republicans appear to have found a winning message on an issue that has traditionally favored Democrats in recent election cycles.

With information from Breitbart News