Rafail Kalyviotis on the decline in foreign policy

The front page of the Telegraph. That’s where we’ve ended up. Europe telling us that Turkey is its pillar of security. And some great journalists and analysts selling out their conscience in order to appear on mainstream channels.

The incidents in Kasos were happening and they swept them aside. They downplayed the Turkey-Libya deal and Turkey’s role in Syria.

The Blue Homeland Doctrine is just a narrative, they say. They told us that multinational companies in the hydrocarbon fields are a security guarantee. All while ignoring the agreements to transfer know-how to the Turkish state oil and natural gas company (TPAO).

Others, lost in time and space, drowning in some imaginary anti-Trumpism, want to explain to us Britain’s stance in signing a defense agreement with Turkey? Is Starmer a Trump man?

Is Macron, who is discussing the SAMP/T ground-based air defense system, which Turkey appears to want to purchase and co-produce and potentially use with Aster 30 missiles? Is he also Trumpian?

So we spent all that money on the Belharra frigates and Rafale jets and no clause was included? Or is the inclusion of a clause an unusual practice in defense agreements? Discussions about selling the S400s are intense, and if that happens, it opens the way for F35s. Perhaps that’s why Fidan met with Lavrov at a time when the Greek government has completely closed channels of contact with Russia?

Meanwhile, now with the Trump corridor that will pass through Armenia, Azerbaijan and Turkey, is there anyone at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to finally tell us why, now that Russia and Turkey are moving toward confrontation on energy issues, we must have our channels with Russia closed while Turkey keeps them open?

During the NATO summit, we let only Israel, which is outside, shout about Turkey. With this stance of ours, even Israel has begun to be disappointed. But of course in Greece we have analysts who occupy themselves with the Gaza casualty figures coming out of Hamas.

The fact that on May 22, 2024, the official Palestinian news agency WAFA (in an English translation of President Mahmoud Abbas’s announcement) referred to the Republic of Cyprus as the “Greek Administration of Southern Cyprus” – in other words, it used exactly the term preferred by the Turkish side – we put in fine print. Or the fact that Hamas officials are housed in Turkey under Erdogan’s control. We don’t want Israel either.

We will be left alone because, as is well known, in international relations when you’re left alone, success is guaranteed. Or China will save us – the same China that in Iran the only action it took was to give it satellite information for missiles.

But it will come to us and stand in front of us in a Greek-Turkish conflict. Perfectly logical. The fact that the new Silk Road passes through Turkey is a detail. What matters is our morality, they say, and that it’s not a colonial country. Let them ask half of Africa.

Egypt has already moved forward. They told us Egypt was a strategic partner. They didn’t understand what was happening with the Monastery of Saint Catherine on Mount Sinai.

Are things going well with Libya? But the Foreign Minister said he talks to both sides. I imagine you’ve all observed how well that went from Haftar’s stance. On the illegal immigration issue, they send them to warehouses that the smugglers know where they are and kidnap them from there. In Western Libya, Italy and France have begun to acquiesce. Guess who is the gatekeeper of Western Libya: Turkey.

I don’t even need to mention Germany or Albania or Spain or Hungary or Italy. But even in Skopje they feel we are so weak that in the football stadium in Strumica, their Prime Minister made references to geographical areas outside the current borders of Skopje State, such as Pirin (in Bulgaria) and “Aegean Macedonia”.

I could write much more, but either Greece will make a radical turn or penetration and collapse starting from within (see Thrace and the islands) will be certain.

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